Lesson 6 of 6 · Comparing costs across years responsibly
Compare money across time with a stated method
8 minute lesson · 3 checks along the way
Your goal for this lessonUse a price index while keeping scope, uncertainty and alternative comparison measures explicit.
In this lesson 3 sections · 3 checks
Using archive links & definitions
Words with a dotted underline open a short definition right here in the lesson.
Read & understand
A dollar amount belongs to a price year
Nominal amounts use the prices of the period in which they are stated. Constant-dollar comparisons adjust amounts to a common price basis using a specified index. Without that adjustment, an older and newer price can differ partly because the general price level changed rather than because the real resources changed.
A consumer price index measures a particular basket of consumer goods and services. It can illustrate purchasing-power adjustment, but it is not automatically the best index for a specialized aerospace program. The chosen measure must fit the comparison’s purpose and be stated rather than hidden.
Check 1 of 3
10 pointsUse the reading above. You can try again without losing points.
Read & understand
Work a fictional index example
Suppose a project cost 80 units when the relevant price index was 100. To express it at a price level of 150, multiply 80 by 150 divided by 100: the result is 120 units in the later price basis. This is a fictional calculation, not an estimate of any named historical mission.
If a comparable later project costs 130 units at that same basis, the difference is 10 units, or about 8.3% relative to 120. The nominal comparison of 130 with 80 would suggest 62.5%, illustrating how the price basis changes the question. Neither calculation by itself explains differences in capability or accounting scope.
Put the numbers on the same basis
Original teaching diagram. Fictional earlier amount. Cost: 80 at index 100. Later index: 150. Adjusted comparison. 80 × 150 ÷ 100 = 120. 130 versus 120: about 8.3% more. The index adjustment does not equalize mission capability, included costs or the quality of historical records.
Open full-size diagram in a new tab: Put the numbers on the same basisCheck 2 of 3
10 pointsUse the reading above. You can try again without losing points.
Read & understand
Inflation adjustment does not solve every comparison
A program’s share of a government budget or national output answers a different question from constant-dollar cost. Currency conversion adds another choice of exchange rate and date. A lower share can coexist with a higher real cost if the denominator grows. Label the measure before drawing a conclusion.
For a historical comparison, state the included work, years, currency, price basis, index and remaining uncertainty. Avoid false precision when the original accounting is incomplete or the missions differ substantially. A useful conclusion may be that a defensible range is possible while a single exact ranking is not.
Check 3 of 3
10 pointsUse the reading above. You can try again without losing points.
Put it together
Your lesson progress
Each check connects to a part of the story. Complete all 3 to earn your 25-point lesson bonus.
Explore further · Optional
Go to the source
Explore the evidence behind this lesson. These optional readings and videos open in a new tab.
- Read: Bureau of Labor Statistics: purchasing power and constant dollarsCompare the explanation and its assumptions with the worked example in this lesson.
- Read: GAO: cost estimating and assessment guideCompare the explanation and its assumptions with the worked example in this lesson.
- Read: GAO: NASA major-project assessment, 2021Historical cost and schedule assessment; not a current project-status list.